Full 2014-2015 Applicant and Application Projections

Based on the 12/5 data release, which at this time last year accounted for 23% of the full pool, some industries law school applicants have projected year end totals and shared with us. Here is how they calculated the below:

  1. We calculated what the number of applicants was at this time last year last year using the % Difference and the number of applicants released this year.
    1. Take those numbers as a proportion of the final numbers for that bracket
    2. Use those proportions to project this year’s final numbers with what we have now

So for example, for the 170-174 bracket:

  1. This year we have 945 applicants so far for a 13.5% decrease. That means we had 1092 applicants with those numbers at this time last year.
    1. Since there were 2196 170-174 applicants at the end of the cycle, that means at this time last year, 49.75% (1092/2196) of the 170-174 applicant pool was already submitted.
    2. Assuming at the 945 170-174 applicants we already have now will also be 49.75% of the total pool, that means there should be 1900 total such applicants at the end.

Then repeat for each score range.

and here are the projections

2014/15 (12/5)
Highest LSATFinal Projected TotalFinal Projected Total vs. 2013
< 1402326-398
140–1445092-801
145–1497880-548
150–1549867-720
155–1598997-922
160–1647191-87
165–1694057-727
170–1741900-296
175–180475-117
170+2374-414
Total/Average47783-4618
-8.81%