Based on the 12/5 data release, which at this time last year accounted for 23% of the full pool, some industries law school applicants have projected year end totals and shared with us. Here is how they calculated the below:
- We calculated what the number of applicants was at this time last year last year using the % Difference and the number of applicants released this year.
- Take those numbers as a proportion of the final numbers for that bracket
- Use those proportions to project this year’s final numbers with what we have now
So for example, for the 170-174 bracket:
- This year we have 945 applicants so far for a 13.5% decrease. That means we had 1092 applicants with those numbers at this time last year.
- Since there were 2196 170-174 applicants at the end of the cycle, that means at this time last year, 49.75% (1092/2196) of the 170-174 applicant pool was already submitted.
- Assuming at the 945 170-174 applicants we already have now will also be 49.75% of the total pool, that means there should be 1900 total such applicants at the end.
Then repeat for each score range.
and here are the projections
|Highest LSAT||Final Projected Total||Final Projected Total vs. 2013|