Based on the 12/5 data release, which at this time last year accounted for 23% of the full pool, some industries law school applicants have projected year end totals and shared with us. Here is how they calculated the below:
- We calculated what the number of applicants was at this time last year last year using the % Difference and the number of applicants released this year.
- Take those numbers as a proportion of the final numbers for that bracket
- Use those proportions to project this year’s final numbers with what we have now
So for example, for the 170-174 bracket:
- This year we have 945 applicants so far for a 13.5% decrease. That means we had 1092 applicants with those numbers at this time last year.
- Since there were 2196 170-174 applicants at the end of the cycle, that means at this time last year, 49.75% (1092/2196) of the 170-174 applicant pool was already submitted.
- Assuming at the 945 170-174 applicants we already have now will also be 49.75% of the total pool, that means there should be 1900 total such applicants at the end.
Then repeat for each score range.
and here are the projections
| 2014/15 (12/5) | ||||
| Highest LSAT | Final Projected Total | Final Projected Total vs. 2013 | ||
| < 140 | 2326 | -398 | ||
| 140–144 | 5092 | -801 | ||
| 145–149 | 7880 | -548 | ||
| 150–154 | 9867 | -720 | ||
| 155–159 | 8997 | -922 | ||
| 160–164 | 7191 | -87 | ||
| 165–169 | 4057 | -727 | ||
| 170–174 | 1900 | -296 | ||
| 175–180 | 475 | -117 | ||
| 170+ | 2374 | -414 | ||
| Total/Average | 47783 | -4618 | ||
| -8.81% | ||||